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2015 storm chase stats:  3 chases – 3 states:       0 tornadoes     1 wall cloud      6 hail encounters  

This site is under construction (just like the central Arkansas freeway system). Follow along on the live chase page when I’m out storm chasing in Arkansas or other sections of the country and watch all the action live via streaming video.  Check back often for updates and additions as I add maps, sites, radar and other awesome weather information.   You can catch my morning weather forecast for Central Arkansas on 103.7 FM The Buzz each weekday morning from 6:25-6:35 am on The Show With No Name.

July 4, 2015

Happy Independence Day!

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9:00 AM

After a day where we saw a mix of clouds and sun and scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, last night and this morning saw additional showers and thunderstorms, some severe and some with very heavy rain move across the state and especially southern Arkansas. Rainfall estimates from various radars show some parts of SW and south-central AR received between 4-6″ with locally higher amounts in some cases 8-10″. No doubt that much rain in a short amount of time is causing some flooding issues, with roads closed and washed out in some areas.

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12 hour (8pm – 8am) Estimated radar zoomed in on southern AR. It should be noted that additional rainfall of 2-3″ fell parts of the area earlier Friday.

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Radar estimated storm total, or rainfall during the period Wednesday through Saturday morning across the state.

The rain is slowly shifting to the east this morning across southern AR with clouds covering most of the state, with some clearing seen across the west and NW. Temperatures were in the upper 60’s NW to low to mid 70’s elsewhere across the state this morning.
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A stationary front was located across northern AR this morning with the rain being caused by a combination of the front, upper level disturbances working through aloft, and leftover boundaries from yesterdays activity, combined with a warm and moist atmosphere. The front will sag a little further south today before moving back to the north and washing out on Sunday. Areas near and south of this front can expect the continuation of scattered showers and thunderstorms moving across the state today. Computer models scattered activity this evening/night with an increase after 10 pm in southern and central AR so hopefully, we’ll get through the fireworks displays without getting wet.

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Hi-Res computer model simulated radar shows additional showers and thunderstorms moving across the state later tonight.

The chance of rain is forecast to decrease on Sunday with percentages in the 30-40% range. Temps will remain cool for early July due to clouds and scattered showers, with mid 80’s to near 90. Temps in the west where more sunshine may be seen may be a little warmer.

Rain chances go down on Monday, but increase a little starting Tuesday as a new cold front makes a move on the state. Temps on Monday will warm into the 90’s before cooling  back into the 80’s on Tuesday and Wednesday. It looks like we’ll get back to a typical summertime pattern by mid to end of next week with just a slight chance of rainfall during the afternoon/evening and temps back into the 90’s.

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across extreme southern and SE Arkansas today, with damaging wind the main threat.

 

 

RIVER LEVELS

For those monitoring the river levels in the state, here is a link that was on the NWS website for those following or interesting in the river levels. This could come in handy, not just for the current situation, but in the future.

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lzk

 

 

April 27, 2015

The Long Chase Home 1

One year ago today, a powerful EF-4 tornado ripped through central Arkansas affecting communities in Pulaski, Faulkner and White counties. Here is our account of that day as written by Nicholas Hunt from Arkansas Life Magazine.